HELLENiQ ENERGY

Main Risk Factors and Mitigating Measures

The Group is exposed to a variety of macroeconomic (foreign exchange rates, crude oil prices), financial (capital structure, liquidity, cash flow, and credit), regulatory and market risks (refining margins, EU Emissions Trading System, energy prices), as well as operational risks. The geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, coupled with global economic uncertainties and ongoing adjustments in international trade, contribute to an environment of increased risk and volatility. In this evolving environment, the existence of a strong risk management framework is crucial, ensuring business continuity and maintaining competitiveness. To address these risks, the Group has implemented comprehensive risk management policies that align with international best practices and take into account local market conditions and regulatory requirements. The primary objective of these policies is to minimize the Group’s exposure to market volatility and mitigate any adverse impacts on its financial position to the greatest extent possible.

The following section outlines the key risks faced by the Group and the corresponding measures implemented to mitigate them.

Main risks

Indicative mitigating measures

Macroeconomic environment
Crude oil and products market:
  • Variation of crude oil / oil product prices
  • Variation of Refining Margins
  • Highly-complex and competitive refineries, with operational performance above European refineries’ average and over-performance vs benchmark margins
  • Matching purchases with sales on a periodic basis to mitigate price exposure
  • Framework for managing commercial risks involving executive members of the Group
  • Hedging transactions subject to market conditions
  • Management of cash balances
Global Economy:
  • Economic recession conditions
  • Significant decrease in demand
  • Geopolitical crises
  • Crisis management program
  • Capital expenditures management
  • Maximization of available liquidity
  • Strong balance sheet
  • Operational and working capital management
Energy transition:
  • Decrease in oil products demand
  • Increased cost of climate compliance
  • Reduction of environmental footprint (target to reduce CO2 emissions by 30% by 2030 and achieve net zero by 2050)
  • Strategic portfolio diversification in RES, natural gas, electricity, as well as other new forms of energy (such as biofuels and hydrogen)
  • Investments to significantly reduce CO2 emissions in core activities
Foreign exchange risk:
  • Gross margin conversion
  • Financial position translation
  • All transactions involving crude oil and petroleum products, both domestically and internationally, are conducted in dollars, with conversion into local currency on the date of the transaction
  • Balance sheet management to match monetary exposure (assets – liabilities)
  • Hedging transactions subject to market conditions
Greek economy:
  • Reduced demand
  • Exposure to Greek banking system
  • Credit risk
  • Economic environment evolution
  • Export-focused business model, with volumetric exports accounting for over 50% of total sales
  • Issuance of Eurobonds to diversify the funding mix and reduce costs
  • A significant portion of gross refining margin is dependent on international prices of both crude oil and petroleum products
  • Continuous monitoring of the domestic economic environment and corresponding adjustment of the Group’s strategy

Main risks

Indicative mitigating measures

Financial risks
Capital structure
  • Diversification of funding sources and adaptation according to business needs
  • Adoption of flexible funding instruments for business activities (such as project finance/non-recourse debt)
  • Improvement of the debt maturity profile based on market conditions
  • Reduction of borrowing costs
  • Management of indebtedness (deleverage)
  • Funding mix optimization (fixed over variable interest cost)
  • Protection from interest rate volatility through hedging instruments
Liquidity
  • Maximization of cash from operating cash flow and available credit lines (headroom)
  • Issuance of Letters of Guarantee (LG) or Credit (LC) for trade liabilities
  • Maximization of available open credit from crude suppliers
Credit
  • Differentiation of the customer mix
  • Faster collection of receivables (DSO reduction)
  • Review of customers’ credit rating status and limits
Operational risks
Safety & Environment
  • Investments to enhance safety and environmental protection levels
  • Implementation of safety audit processes and regular inspection of all production facilities, storage and distribution terminals
  • Continuous measurement of emissions from the Group’s manufacturing facilities
  • Participation in international organizations to share best-practices in accordance with the highest standards of the refining industry
Ensuring refineries’ supply with raw materials
  • Proactive scheduling of refineries’ supply
  • Adjusting supply chain to address potential shortages of specific crude grades
  • Leveraging the refineries’ location and configuration to access and process a wider range of crude oil grades
  • Supply diversification
Reduced operation or unplanned shut-down of a refinery
  • Rigorous enforcement of preventive maintenance programs
  • Regular maintenance turnarounds in accordance with equipment specification
Compliance in terms of operation and product quality
  • Implementation of necessary measures to fully comply with existing specifications, both in the production process and the supply chain
  • Investments in adjusting equipment configuration, in line with national and European institutional guidelines
Property and liability risk
  • Insurance coverage for various risks, including physical asset damage, personal and third-party injuries, business interruption, product-related or other liability

Overview of Internal Control System and Risk Management

In the same context, the Internal Control System and Risk Management of the Group incorporate safeguards and monitoring mechanisms at various levels within the organization, as outlined below:

Identification, Assessment, Measurement and Management of Risks

The identification and assessment of risks predominantly transpire during the strategic planning and yearly formulation of the business plan. The scrutiny of advantages and opportunities duly considers the Company's activities, along with the impacts on various stakeholders.

Planning and Monitoring / Budget

The Group’s performance is monitored through a detailed budget per operating sector and market. The budget is consistently adjusted, and Management oversees the Group’s financial performance through regularly issued reports and comparisons between the budget and the actual results.

Adequacy of the Internal Control System

The Internal Control System consists of the policies, procedures and tasks which have been designed and implemented by the managing risks, achieving business objectives, ensuring the reliability of financial and administrative information, and complying Management for the purpose of effectively with laws and regulations. Through periodic assessments, the Independent Internal Audit Department ensures that the identification procedures and risk management employed by Management are adequate, that the Internal Control System functions effectively and that the information provided to the Board of Directors regarding the Internal Control System is reliable and of high quality.

Roles and Responsibilities of the BoD

The role and responsibilities of the BoD are outlined in the Company’s Internal Regulations Manual, which is approved by the BoD.

Prevention and Suppression of Financial Fraud

Areas identified as high risk for financial fraud are subject to stringent monitoring through the implementation of appropriate internal controls and enhanced security measures. In addition to the internal controls implemented by each department, all Company activities are subject to audits conducted by the Internal Audit Department. The results of these audits are subsequently presented to the BoD.

Internal Operating Regulation

The Company has compiled an Internal Operating Regulation (IOR), which has been approved by the BoD. The IOR establishes powers and responsibilities that facilitate the proper segregation of duties within the Company.

The Group’s Code of Conduct

In line with the fundamental obligation of sound corporate governance, the Company has drafted and adopted the Code of Conduct, which has been approved by the BoD. The Code of Conduct summarizes the principles that should guide the actions of any individual, whether an employee or a third party involved in the Group's operations, as well as any collective body, in the performance of their duties. Therefore, the Code serves as a practical guide for the daily tasks of all Group employees and third parties who collaborate with the Group.

The Group's Code of Conduct was revised in 2024, drawing on the experience of its implementation over the past decade and to align with recent legislative developments.

Safeguards in Information Technology (IT) systems

The IT & Digital Transformation Department of the Group is tasked with formulating the IT strategy and providing training for employees to address any emerging needs. Additionally, it is responsible for supporting IT systems and applications by creating and updating operation manuals, in collaboration with external consultants as necessary. The Group has established a comprehensive framework to oversee and regulate its IT systems, consisting of internal controls, policies, and procedures.

Safeguards for Financial Statements and Financial Reporting

The Group implements standardized policies and monitoring procedures within the accounting departments of its subsidiaries. These policies encompass various aspects, including definitions, accounting principles adopted by the Company and its subsidiaries, and guidelines for the preparation of financial statements and consolidation. Moreover, it employs automated checks and validations across different transactional and reporting systems. In instances involving non-recurring transactions, explicit approval is mandatory.​

Chart of Authorities

The Group has implemented a Chart of Authorities, which outlines the delegated powers granted to different executives within the Company. This enables them to execute specific transactions or actions, such as payments, receipts, contracts and so forth.

Risk Management in 2024

Global GDP grew by 2.7% in 2024, while economic growth in Greece came in at 2.3%, despite the uncertain international economic environment. With regards to the global oil demand, it increased by 1.6 mbpd in 2024, reaching 103.8 mbpd.

The prices of crude oil, natural gas, electricity and CO2 (EUAs) declined during 2024. Specifically, crude oil prices fell as the deceleration in global economic growth more than offset factors such as production cuts by OPEC+ member countries, ongoing geopolitical tensions and the realignment of trade flows due to conflicts in the Red Sea. In the first months of 2024, natural gas prices declined, driven by a stable natural gas supply (LNG and Norway), elevated storage levels and mild weather conditions. Towards the end of the year, the accelerated depletion of European stocks due to adverse weather conditions and uncertainty regarding Russian gas exports through Ukraine resulted in an increase in the natural gas price.
Low demand led to lower electricity prices in Greece during the early months of the year. The remainder of the year observed an increase in prices due to extreme heat conditions in the summer and unexpectedly low temperatures in December. Prices for CO2 emission rights declined due to subdued economic activity in Europe and reduced consumption of fossil fuels for electricity generation and heating.
Regarding crude oil supply, following the sanctions imposed on Russia in 2022, the HELLENiQ ENERGY Group has fully replaced Russian crude with alternative types since the first quarter of 2022, significantly broadening collaborations with other suppliers and enhancing supply security. At the same time, the Group places considerable emphasis on managing expenses associated with natural gas, electricity and CO2 emissions. The energy transformation continues, with investments aimed at increasing energy autonomy and efficiency, as well as reducing CO2 emissions from the Group’s industrial facilities, with the objective of reducing the environmental footprint, while expanding its presence in RES with geographical dispersion and a balanced mix of various technologies.

The Company continues to implement its strategic plan with a focus on a pragmatic energy transition and strengthening its business model, thereby enhancing the risk management framework.

The Group’s risk management framework has the objective of effectively managing potential exposure to various risks and mitigating any unfavorable impact on the Group’s financial position.